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Will a given spillover event peter out on its own or evolve to become the next pandemic, and how early is it possible to know?

The Kennedy Lab (https://sites.psu.edu/kennedylab/) at Penn State in the Center for Infectious Disease Dynamics (CIDD) is seeking a Postdoctoral Scholar to work on projects relating the ecology of spillover to the evolution of host jump success. Preventing host jumps depends critically on identifying traits associated with disease emergence so that actions can be taken early to stop the spread of the disease, but knowledge of the factors that facilitate or prevent host jumps has been limited by a lack of suitable experimental study systems. Disease emergence is inherently a population-level phenomenon, and therefore can only be experimentally studied in a system where it is possible to have replicate host populations with potential for pathogen transmission. We have recently developed such a system (Caenorhabditis hosts and viruses native to C. elegans and C. briggsae). We have shown that for at least one of these viruses (Shaw & Kennedy 2022, Proc B, https://doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2022.1165), some species of Caenorhabditis hosts are refractory to infection, some are infected but do not transmit, some are infected and transmit weakly, and some are infected and transmit well enough for the virus to be maintained in the population. In other words, different host species span the full range of possible outcomes following exposure to a novel pathogen. We additionally have preliminary data showing that these outcomes can evolve in the lab over short timescales. Using this system, we will identify factors that predict which spillover events lead to pathogen establishment and which spillover events fail to do so, with the long term goal of connecting spillover risk to pandemic risk.

The successful applicant will develop case law and theory relating the ecology of spillover to the evolution of successful host jumps. This knowledge may be achieved by any combination of suitable approaches including ecological and/or evolutionary experiments in a laboratory setting, genomics and sequencing of viral isolates, or disease ecology modeling.

Type
Postdoc
Institution
Penn State University
City
State College, PA
Country
United States
Closing date
January 1st, 2023
Posted on
December 1st, 2022 19:50
Last updated
December 1st, 2022 19:50
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